Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 18.898958 21.574863 24.615748 28.352675 32.856165 38.152971 44.920543
2025-08-24 15.228353 18.529269 22.611967 28.119009 35.489228 45.216273 59.382670
2025-08-31 12.936920 16.387188 20.892905 27.358419 36.659981 49.996522 71.442217
2025-09-07 11.466662 14.991975 19.799386 27.055350 38.147406 55.236727 85.291229
2025-09-14 10.048511 13.449062 18.238721 25.751486 37.792160 57.441647 94.661359
2025-09-21 8.887641 12.122482 16.800250 24.374642 37.006936 58.668426 102.491171
2025-09-28 8.089977 11.232054 15.890043 23.665614 37.145439 61.425424 113.962926
2025-10-05 8.285964 11.823885 17.275794 26.826561 44.454538 78.911046 162.658556
2025-10-12 8.001240 11.641817 17.409612 27.875416 48.115925 90.242402 202.644593
2025-10-19 7.394498 10.894706 16.540702 27.024831 47.942630 93.382851 222.870713
2025-10-26 7.165893 10.734990 16.631926 27.928908 51.452501 105.709929 275.778162
2025-11-02 6.759038 10.247122 16.110910 27.603170 52.303752 111.922811 313.310636
2025-11-09 6.351639 9.745898 15.552799 27.201391 53.072518 118.580667 358.652788
2025-11-16 6.009763 9.332180 15.116550 26.995567 54.278474 126.902571 417.571767
2025-11-23 5.632063 8.827994 14.469387 26.272914 54.123961 131.360559 464.468978
2025-11-30 5.346807 8.465720 14.053707 25.985323 54.987782 139.196727 535.221967
2025-12-07 4.968727 7.914323 13.238816 24.747231 53.229456 138.297938 560.928354
2025-12-14 4.612805 7.383197 12.427281 23.438829 51.098491 135.675238 575.912690
2025-12-21 4.359116 7.023461 11.922504 22.764625 50.562355 138.399708 627.132651
2025-12-28 4.529287 7.448309 12.982487 25.768139 60.769380 184.000603 1049.930376
2026-01-04 4.468760 7.438007 13.170850 26.763551 65.509052 211.688496 1419.319339
2026-01-11 4.238284 7.091202 12.643027 25.956350 64.588777 214.953545 1555.992802
2026-01-18 4.176635 7.064712 12.778921 26.814302 69.130265 245.446018 2120.946086